European Respiratory Journal
● European Respiratory Society (ERS)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match European Respiratory Journal's content profile, based on 54 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.09% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Morgan, C.; Calder, A.; Brugha, R.; Quyam, S.; Aurora, P.; McGovern, E.; Bush, A.; Moledina, S.
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BackgroundTBX4 variants are a recognised cause of paediatric pulmonary hypertension (PH), often associated with interstitial lung disease (ILD). Evidence for ILD-directed therapy in this group is lacking. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study of children ([≤]18 years) with TBX4-associated PH at a national centre (2001-2025). ILD was defined using ChILD-EU criteria. Patients treated with pulsed intravenous methylprednisolone were assessed for response using ChILD-EU categories. Secondary outcomes included respiratory severity score (RSS), functional class (FC), echocardiographic measures, and NT-proBNP. ResultsOf 21 children, 11 (52%) had ILD; 9 received corticosteroids. Median age at treatment was 0.8 years. A clear or best response occurred in 7/9 (78%). RSS improved in 6/9 (p=0.02), with all children on respiratory support showing partial or complete weaning. Functional class improved in all with FC III/IV at baseline (p=0.02). Right ventricular function improved (TAPSE z-score +1.65, p=0.04), and elevated NT-proBNP normalised. Key clinical milestones included ECMO weaning, transplant delisting, and discontinuation of prostacyclin therapy. No significant adverse effects were observed. Untreated children showed no early improvement. ConclusionsCorticosteroids were associated with meaningful improvements in respiratory and PH outcomes in TBX4-associated PH with ILD. Prospective evaluation is warranted.
Nabunje, R.; Guillen-Guio, B.; Hernandez-Beeftink, T.; Joof, E.; Leavy, O. C.; International IPF Genetics Consortium, ; Maher, T. M.; Molyneux, P.; Noth, I.; Urrutia, A.; Aburto, M.; Flores, C.; Jenkins, R. G.; Wain, L. V.; Allen, R. J.
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Genome-wide association studies of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have identified 35 common genetic risk loci associated with IPF susceptibility. In this study, we evaluated the effects of the reported variants in clinically curated non-European individuals. Despite limited sample sizes, we observed partial replication, limited transferability of some variants and evidence of ancestry-specific effects. The MUC5B promoter variant rs35705950 emerged as the dominant and most consistent signal across ancestries. Our findings highlight the need for larger, well-characterised studies in understudied populations to support robust discovery and translation.
Walters, R.; Allen, M. B.; Scheen, H.; Beam, C.; Waldrip, Z.; Singule-Kollisch, M.; Varisco, A.; Williams, J. G.; De Luca, D.; Varisco, B. M.
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BackgroundIn patients requiring respiratory support, clinicians rely on physical exam, radiologic, laboratory, and ventilator-derived measures for the provision of sufficient support while minimizing ventilator and "work of breathing" induced lung injury. Point of care lung ultrasound (LUS) is a widely available tool in hospital and clinic environments. To date, LUS has not been used to evaluate lung strain. MethodsWe collected LUS images in four anesthetized, neuromuscularly blocked, and mechanically ventilated pigs being used for another experiment. A feature tracking tool was developed which tracked echo-bright lung structures in ten second clips obtained in triplicate of the right and left, upper and lower lung fields using tidal volumes of 4, 6, 8, 10, and 12 mL/kg. Pleural lines were manually drawn and a program for quantifying lung strain developed with assistance from Anthropic Claude Artificial Intelligence tool. Structures were identified in inspiratory and expiratory frames and tracked bidirectionally with median strain per frame used for calculations. ResultsTriplicate measures of lung ultrasound images in four pigs had a median coefficients of variation of 35% (23-47% IQR) and linear modeling of strain with tidal volumes of 4-12 mL/kg showed positive correlation with R2 value ranging from 0.89 to 0.97. Strain measurements were similar after bronchial administration of 1.5M hydrochloric acid. ConclusionsRegional lung strain quantification using LUS is a viable and potentially useful tool for respiratory support management.
Neely, M.; Wojdyla, D. M.; Hong, H.; Wang, P.; Anderson, M. R.; Arroyo, K.; Belperio, J.; Benvenuto, L.; Budev, M.; Combs, M.; Dhillon, G.; Hsu, J. Y.; Kalman, L.; Martinu, T.; McDyer, J.; Oyster, M.; Pandya, K.; Reynolds, J. M.; Rim, J. G.; Roe, D. W.; Shah, P. D.; Singer, J. P.; Singer, L.; Snyder, L. P.; Tsuang, W.; Weigt, S. S.; Christie, J. D.; Palmer, S. M.; Todd, J.
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Background: We aimed to identify data-driven FEV1 trajectory phenotypes post-chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD), relate these phenotypes to patient factors and future graft loss, and develop a classification approach for prospective patients. Methods: We studied adult first lung recipients with probable CLAD from two prospective multicenter cohorts: CTOT-20 (n=206) and LTOG (n=1418). FEV1 trajectories over the first nine months post-CLAD were characterized using joint latent class mixed models, jointly modelling time-to-graft loss to account for informative censoring. Models were fit independently in both cohorts and also only among LTOG bilateral recipients. A classification and regression tree (CART) model was derived in LTOG bilateral recipients and applied to CTOT-20 bilateral recipients. Findings: Four distinct early FEV1 trajectory classes were identified in CTOT-20, with large differences in nine month graft loss (72.3%, 31.1%, 2.2%, 0%). In LTOG, similar trajectory patterns were reproduced, with an additional class demonstrating early post-CLAD FEV1 improvement. Among bilateral recipients, trajectory classes showed a clear risk gradient, including a high-risk class with 100% graft loss and a low-risk class with no early graft loss. A CART model incorporating clinical and spirometric variables demonstrated good discrimination in LTOG bilateral recipients (multiclass AUC 0.85) and consistent class assignment and trajectory patterns when applied to CTOT-20. Interpretation: We identified reproducible, clinically meaningful early post-CLAD FEV1 trajectory phenotypes with differential graft loss risk. These phenotypes and a pragmatic classification tool may support risk stratification, trial enrichment, and improved prognostication for patients and clinicians.
Sidiq, Z.; Tyagi, P.; Anand, A.; Dwivedi, K. K.; Rajpal, S.; Chopra, K. K.
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Abstract Background Timely diagnosis of tuberculosis and drug resistance remains a cornerstone of effective disease control. Multiplex open molecular platforms capable of simultaneously detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBc), non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM), and resistance to first-line anti-tuberculosis drugs could streamline diagnostic pathways. Methods We conducted a laboratory-based evaluation of two multiplex real-time PCR assays (MTBc/NTM R-Gene and MTB-RIF/INH R-Gene) using 300 well-characterized samples, including 150 MTBc-positive culture isolates (including rifampicin-resistant, isoniazid-resistant, and drug-susceptible strains) and 150 MTBc-negative samples (50 NTM isolates and 100 mycobacteria-negative specimens). Composite reference standards included culture, MPT64 antigen testing, and line probe assay corroborated by phenotypic drug susceptibility testing for resistance profiling, with NTM speciation performed using a dedicated line probe assay. DNA extraction was performed using the QIAamp DNA Mini Kit (QIAGEN, Germany), followed by amplification on a real-time PCR platform according to manufacturer instructions. The diagnostic performance was assessed against composite reference standards. Results The analytical performance for detecting MTBc demonstrated 100% sensitivity and specificity (150/150). NTM detection showed 70.0% sensitivity (35/50) and a specificity of 100%, highlighting limitations in coverage of NTM species. Rifampicin resistance was detected with a sensitivity of 96.0% (48/50) and specificity of 100%, whereas isoniazid resistance detection was 100% sensitive and specific (50/50). Agreement with established reference standards was high ({kappa}=0.76-1.00) within this analytical context. Interpretation This analytical validation demonstrates that multiplex open real-time PCR assays can accurately and simultaneously detect MTBc, NTM, and rifampicin and isoniazid resistance using culture isolates. While these platforms offer potential advantages in flexibility and expanded resistance profiling, additional studies on clinical diagnostic accuracy, cost-effectiveness analyses, and operational feasibility are required to determine their practical utility and programmatic impact in high-burden settings
Tiseo, K.; Dräger, S.; Santhosh Kumar, H.; Alkhazashvili, M.; Hammann, A.; Risch, P.; Willi, R.; Mkhatvari, T.; Fialova, C.; Adlhart, C.; Szabo, D.; Suknidze, M.; Patchkoria, I.; Broger, T.; Ivanova Reipold, E.; Varshanidze, K.; Osthoff, M.
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1.Etiological diagnosis of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) relies on sputum or bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL), which may be difficult to obtain or invasive. Exhaled breath aerosol (XBA) sampling offers a non-invasive alternative for pathogen detection. We evaluated the performance of the AveloMask, a face mask-based device designed to capture XBAs for molecular testing. In this prospective paired-sample study, hospitalized adults with pneumonia at three hospitals in Switzerland and Georgia provided an XBA sample using the AveloMask and a lower respiratory tract (LRT) specimen (sputum or BAL). XBA samples were analyzed by multiplex PCR using the Roche LightMix(R) panel and LRT samples were tested using the BioFire(R) FilmArray(R) Pneumonia Panel. Concordance between XBA and LRT samples was assessed using positive percent agreement (PPA), negative percent agreement (NPA), and overall percent agreement (OPA). Ninety-three participants were enrolled and 63 participants provided paired samples. AveloMask sampling identified the dominant pathogen (lowest Ct value in the LRT sample) in 40/47 LRT-positive cases (85.1%). Across all targets, PPA was 61% (95%CI, 50-72%), NPA was 100% (95%CI, 99-100%), and OPA was 95% (95% CI, 92-96%). PPA was higher for bacteria than for viruses and lower PPA was largely driven by reduced detection of low-abundance or co-infecting pathogens. In a subset analysis, AveloMask results showed substantial overlap with standard-of-care testing and could have supported antimicrobial de-escalation. Breath aerosol sampling using the AveloMask enabled non-invasive molecular detection of LRT pathogens in pneumonia cases and may complement conventional standard-of-care testing, particularly when sputum is unavailable.
Jung, S.; Thomson, S.
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Continuous, non-invasive cardiovascular monitoring is limited by the superficial sensing depth of Photoplethysmography (PPG), which is susceptible to peripheral artifacts. This study evaluates a wearable dual-modality prototype integrating dryelectrode Impedance Plethysmography (IPG) and PPG within a smartwatch form factor. Results from a pilot study (N=2) demonstrate that IPG signals exhibit a temporal lead over PPG across ventral and dorsal sites, supporting its greater penetration depth. During brachial artery modulation, IPG showed superior sensitivity to arterial recovery on the ventral forearm. Furthermore, 60-minute napping sessions revealed that while PPG remained morphologically stable, IPG signals underwent significant evolution, capturing distinct pulsewave archetypes. These findings suggest that wearable IPG provides a high-fidelity window into deep systemic hemodynamics typically reserved for clinical instrumentation.
Ciudin Mihai, A.; Baker, J. L.; Belancic, A.; Busetto, L.; Dicker, D.; Fabryova, L.; Fruhbeck, G.; Goossens, G. H.; Gordon, J.; Monami, M.; Sbraccia, P.; Martinez Tellez, B.; Yumuk, V.; McGowan, B.
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This updated systematic review and network meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of obesity management medications (OMMs) in terms of reducing body weight and obesity related complications. Medline and Embase were searched up to 21 November 2025 for randomized controlled trials comparing OMMs versus placebo or active comparators in adults. The primary endpoint was percentage total body weight loss (TBWL%) at the end of the study. Secondary endpoints were TBWL% at 1, 2 and 3 years, anthropometric, metabolic, mental health and quality of life outcomes, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, remission of obesity related complications, serious adverse events and all cause mortality. Sixty six RCTs (66 comparisons) were identified: orlistat (22), semaglutide (18), liraglutide (11), tirzepatide (8), naltrexone/bupropion (5) and phentermine/topiramate (2), enrolling 63,909 patients (34,861 and 29,048 with active compound and placebo, respectively). All OMMs showed significantly greater TBWL% versus placebo; tirzepatide and semaglutide exceeded 10% TBWL and showed the most favourable glycaemic effects. Semaglutide reduced major adverse cardiovascular events and all cause mortality. In dedicated complication specific trials, semaglutide and tirzepatide showed benefit on heart failure related outcomes; tirzepatide was associated with improved obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome and semaglutide with knee osteoarthritis pain remission. Tirzepatide and semaglutide were associated with improvements in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis remission, and semaglutide with improvement in liver fibrosis. No OMMs were associated with an increased risk of serious adverse events. These updated results reinforce the need to individualize OMMs selection according to weight loss efficacy, complication profile and safety.
Park, J.; Hwang, I.-C.; Kim, H.-K.; Bae, N. Y.; Lim, J.; Kwak, S.; Bak, M.; Choi, H.-M.; Park, J.-B.; Yoon, Y. E.; Lee, S. P.; Kim, Y.-J.; Cho, G.-Y.
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Aims: Assessment of treatment response in HFrEF has largely relied on left ventricular (LV)-centric parameters, yet the left atrium (LA) plays a central role in modulating LV filling and reflects the cumulative hemodynamic burden. Whether discordant recovery between LV and LA function carries distinct prognostic implications in patients treated with ARNI-based therapy remains unknown. Methods and results: From the multicenter STRATS-HF-ARNI registry, 1,182 patients with HFrEF who underwent serial echocardiography at baseline and one-year follow-up were included. Patients were classified into four strain recovery phenotypes according to the direction of change in LVGLS and LASr at one year: Group A, concordant recovery (57.4%); Group B, discordant atrial non-recovery (11.2%); Group C, discordant ventricular non-recovery (15.6%); and Group D, concordant non-recovery (16.0%). Clinical outcomes included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and HF hospitalization. Despite achieving LV functional improvement, Group B exhibited persistent LASr deterioration, accompanied by less favorable hemodynamic trajectories compared with Group A. On multivariable Cox regression, Group B was associated with significantly higher risks of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 3.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60-7.79) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR 5.68, 95% CI 1.91-16.92), comparable to Group D. Group C demonstrated higher HF hospitalization risk (aHR 2.25, 95% CI 1.31-3.86). The adverse prognostic impact of discordant atrial non-recovery was consistently observed across subgroups stratified by baseline LVGLS and LASr levels. Conclusion: In HFrEF patients treated with ARNI-based therapy, persistent LA dysfunction despite LV functional improvement identifies a high-risk phenotype comparable to concordant non-recovery. These findings suggest that concurrent assessment of LV and LA strain may provide incremental prognostic value beyond LV-centric metrics alone.
Kamulegeya, R.; Nabatanzi, R.; Semugenze, D.; Mugala, F.; Takuwa, M.; Nasinghe, E.; Musinguzi, D.; Namiiro, S.; Katumba, A.; Ssengooba, W.; Nakatumba-Nabende, J.; Kivunike, F. N.; Kateete, D. P.
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BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of infectious disease mortality worldwide, and treatment failure contributes to ongoing transmission, drug resistance, and poor clinical outcomes. Artificial intelligence and machine learning approaches have attracted growing interest for predicting tuberculosis treatment outcomes, but the literature is heterogeneous and lacks a comprehensive synthesis. MethodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies that developed or validated machine learning models to predict TB treatment failure. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase from January 2000 to October 2025. Studies were eligible if they developed, validated, or implemented an artificial intelligence or machine learning model for the prediction of TB treatment failure or a closely related poor outcome in patients receiving anti-TB treatment. Risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed to pool area under the curve values, with subgroup analyses and meta-regression to explore heterogeneity. ResultsThirty-four studies were included in the systematic review, of which 19 reported area under the curve values suitable for meta-analysis (total participants, 100,790). Studies were published between 2014 and 2025, with 91% published from 2019 onward. Tree-based methods were the most common algorithm family (52.9%), and multimodal models integrating three or more data types were used in 41.2% of studies. The pooled area under the curve was 0.836 (95% confidence interval 0.799-0.868), with substantial heterogeneity (I{superscript 2} = 97.9%). In subgroup analyses, studies including HIV-positive participants showed lower discrimination (pooled area under the curve 0.748) compared to those excluding them (0.924). Only eight studies (23.5%) performed external validation, and only one study (2.9%) was rated as low risk of bias overall, primarily due to methodological concerns in the analysis domain. Eggers test suggested publication bias (p = 0.024). Major evidence gaps included underrepresentation of high-burden countries, HIV-affected populations, social determinants, pediatric TB, and extrapulmonary disease. ConclusionsMachine learning models for predicting TB treatment failure show promising discrimination but are not yet ready for routine clinical implementation. Performance varies substantially across populations and settings, and methodological limitations, including inadequate validation, poor calibration assessment, and high risk of bias, limit confidence in current estimates. Future research should prioritize rigorous external validation, calibration assessment, and development in underrepresented populations, particularly HIV-affected and high-burden settings. Author SummaryTB kills over a million people annually. While curable, treatment failure remains common and drives ongoing transmission and drug resistance. Researchers increasingly use artificial intelligence and machine learning to predict which patients will fail treatment, but it is unclear if these models are ready for clinical use. We reviewed 34 studies including nearly 1.1 million participants from 22 countries. On average, models correctly distinguished patients who would fail treatment from those who would not 84% of the time, a performance generally considered good. However, this average hid enormous variation. Models developed in populations including HIV-positive people performed substantially worse, suggesting prediction is harder with HIV co-infection. Worryingly, only one study used high-quality methods; 97% had serious flaws in handling missing data, checking calibration, or testing in new populations. Only eight studies validated their models in different settings. To conclude, we found that machine learning is promising in predicting TB treatment failure, but it is not ready for clinical use. Researchers should prioritize validation in high-burden settings, include social determinants, and improve methodological rigor before these tools can help patients.
Palmer, M.; Hashiguchi, T.; Arman, A. C.; Shirakata, Y.; Buss, N. E.; Lalezari, J. P.
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BackgroundChemokine receptor type 5 (CCR5) is expressed on hepatic stellate cells (HSCs), which, together with fibroblasts, are major producers of extracellular matrix during liver fibrosis. Leronlimab is a humanized IgG4{kappa} monoclonal antibody that binds to CCR5. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the antifibrotic effects of leronlimab in three independent preclinical studies using two mouse models of liver fibrosis. MethodsIn STAM (Stelic Animal Model) model 1, leronlimab was administered at doses of 5 or 10 mg/kg/week for 3 weeks. STAM model 2 was conducted as a confirmatory study to validate the antifibrotic effect observed with the 10 mg/kg/week dose in STAM model 1. In a third study, a carbon tetrachloride (CCl)-induced liver fibrosis mouse model was used to evaluate leronlimab administered at 10 mg/kg/week for 3 weeks. An isotype-matched control antibody was included in all studies for comparison. Evaluations included liver enzymes and histological assessment of liver fibrosis. ResultsIn STAM model 1, leronlimab at 10 mg/kg/week significantly reduced fibrosis area compared with the isotype control (p = 0.0005). These findings were confirmed in STAM model 2 (p < 0.0001). Consistent antifibrotic effects were also observed in the CCl-induced liver fibrosis model (p = 0.0006). ConclusionsCollectively, these preclinical results demonstrate that CCR5 blockade by leronlimab is associated with a significant reduction of established liver fibrosis in multiple mouse models and support further evaluation of leronlimab as a potential therapeutic option, either as monotherapy or in combination regimens, for chronic liver diseases with fibrosis.
Arrieta-Mendoza, M. E.; Barbosa-Balaguera, S.; Betancourt, J. R.; Ayala-Zapata, S.; Messu-Llanos, C. D.; Rosales-Melo, J. P.; Andrade-Hoyos, D. F.; Herrera-Escandon, A.; Aguilar-Molina, O. E.
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Sickle cell disease (SCD) is associated with substantial cardiovascular morbidity, but echocardiographic data from Latin American populations remain scarce. We aimed to characterise the structural, functional, and haemodynamic echocardiographic profile of adults with SCD attending a tertiary referral centre in Cali, Colombia. We conducted an observational, cross-sectional study based on systematic review of medical records and transthoracic echocardiography reports of consecutive adult patients ([≥]18 years) with confirmed SCD evaluated between January 2022 and December 2024. Patients with complex congenital heart disease, severe valvular disease of unrelated aetiology, pregnancy, or echocardiograms of insufficient quality were excluded. Of 669 patients screened, 57 met inclusion criteria. Reporting followed STROBE recommendations. The median age was 24 years (interquartile range [IQR] 21-32) and 59.6% were female; the SS genotype was the most frequent (76.4%) and 71.4% were on hydroxyurea. Median haemoglobin was 10.2 g/dL (IQR 9.3-11.4) and median NT-proBNP 491 pg/mL (IQR 98-1290). Most patients had preserved left ventricular dimensions and systolic function (median ejection fraction 63%, IQR 57-66.5; mean global longitudinal strain -18.9% {+/-} 2.9). Right ventricular function was preserved (mean tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion 25.4 {+/-} 4.6 mm). Left ventricular geometry was normal in 42.1%, with concentric remodelling in 24.6%, concentric hypertrophy in 21.1%, and eccentric hypertrophy in 12.3%. Diastolic function was normal in 71.4%. Valvular disease, when present, was predominantly mild. Tricuspid regurgitation velocity exceeded 2.5 m/s in 29.8% of patients and exceeded 3.0 m/s in 10.5%, identifying a substantial subgroup at intermediate-to-high probability of pulmonary hypertension. In this Colombian cohort of relatively young adults with SCD, cardiac structure and biventricular function were largely preserved, but nearly one-third of patients had echocardiographic findings suggestive of pulmonary hypertension. These findings support the routine use of transthoracic echocardiography as an accessible tool for early cardiovascular risk stratification in adults with SCD in low- and middle-income settings.
Hones, G. S.; Liao, X.-H.; Mahler, E. A.; Herrmann, P.; Eckstein, A.; Fuhrer, D.; Castillo, J. M.; Chiang, J.; Vincent, A. L.; Weiss, R. E.; Dumitrescu, A. M.; Refetoff, S.; Moeller, L. C.
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BackgroundHeterozygous c.283+1G>A and c.283G>A variants in the THRB gene, encoding for thyroid hormone receptor (TR){beta}1 and {beta}2, lead to autosomal dominant macular dystrophy (ADMD). We report the detailed clinical characterization of two first-degree relatives with ADMD, heterozygous for THRB c.283+1G>A, and an unrelated ADMD patient with a novel variant, c.283G>C. The genomic and molecular consequences of both variants were studied. MethodsgDNA and mRNA were obtained from leukocytes. Clinical characterization included biochemistry, bone density and body composition, ECG, echocardiography, ultrasound, audiometry and color-vision. In vitro assays investigated TR function and DNA binding. ResultsThe patients manifested no resistance to thyroid hormone beta (RTH{beta}) and had normal FT4 and TSH. Detailed studies in two patients showed no goiter, tachycardia, hypercholesterinemia or hepatic steatosis. Hearing was not impaired. Both had impaired color vision and reduced bone density. RT-PCR from all three patients revealed skipping of exon 4 exclusive to TR{beta}1, producing a deletion of 87 amino acids in the N-terminal domain (TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD). In vitro, DNA-binding affinity of TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD to DR4-TRE with or without RXR was comparable to TR{beta}1WT. Surprisingly, TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD was transcriptionally twice more active than TR{beta}1WT with a similar EC50 for T3, demonstrating gain-of-function of TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD. THRA expression in leukocytes was increased by 3-fold compared to unrelated controls and different from RTH{beta} patients. ConclusionThese THRB splice site variants produce TR{beta}1 exon 4 skipping, resulting in a gain-of-function mutant, TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD. This explains the dominant ADMD phenotype devoid of RTH{beta} and suggests a TR{beta}1 gain-of-function syndrome.
Ytsma, C. R.; Torralbo, A.; Fitzpatrick, N. K.; Pietzner, M.; Louloudis, I.; Nguyen, D.; Ansarey, S.; Denaxas, S.
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Objective The aim of this study was to develop and validate an automated, scalable framework to harmonise fragmented UK primary care prescription records into a research-ready dataset by mapping four diverse medical ontologies to a unified, historically comprehensive reference standard. Materials and Methods We used raw prescription records for consented participants in the UK Biobank, in which participants are uniquely characterized by multiple data modalities. Primary care data were preprocessed by selecting one drug code if multiple were recorded, cleaning codes to match reference presentations, expanding code granularity based on drug descriptions, and updating outdated codes to a single reference version. Harmonisation entailed mapping British National Formulary (BNF) and Read2 codes to dm+d, the universal NHS standard vocabulary for uniquely identifying and prescribing medicines. Harmonised dm+d records were then homogenised to a single concept granularity, the Virtual Medicinal Product (VMP). We validated our methods by creating medication profiles mapping contemporary drug prescribing patterns in 312 physical and mental health conditions. Results We preprocessed 57,659,844 records (100%) from 221,868 participants (100%). Of those, 48,950 records were dropped due to lack of drug code. 7,357,572 records (13%) used multiple ontologies. Most (76%) records were encoded in BNF and most had the code granularity expanded via the drug description (N=28,034,282; 49%). 41,244,315 records (72%) were harmonised to dm+d and 99.98% of these were converted to VMP as a homogeneous dataset. Across 312 diseases, we identified 23,352 disease-drug associations with 237 medications (represented as BNF subparagraphs) that survived statistical correction of which most resembled drug - indication pairs. Conclusion Our methodology converts highly fragmented and raw prescription records with inconsistent data quality into a streamlined, enriched dataset at a single reference, version, and granularity of information. Harmonised prescription records can be easily utilised by researchers to perform large-scale analyses in research.
Gunnarsson, C.; Ellegard, R.; Ahsberg, J.; huda, s.; Andersson, J.; Dworeck, C. F.; Glaser, N.; Erlinge, D.; Loghman, H.; Johnston, N.; Mannila, M.; Pagonis, C.; Ravn-Fischer, A.; Rydberg, E.; Welen Schef, K.; Tornvall, P.; Sederholm Lawesson, S.; Swahn, E. E.
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Abstract Background Spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) is a well-recognised cause of acute coronary syndrome particularly among women without conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Increasing evidence indicates a genetic contribution; however, the underlying genetic architecture of SCAD remains insufficiently understood. Objective The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of rare variants in previously reported SCAD associated genes and to explore the potential presence of novel genetic alterations in well-characterised Swedish patients with SCAD. Methods The study comprised 201 patients enrolled in SweSCAD, a national project examining the clinical characteristics, aetiology, and outcomes of SCAD. All individuals had a confirmed diagnosis based on invasive coronary angiography. Comprehensive exome sequencing was performed to identify rare variants contributing to disease susceptibility. Results Genetic variants that have been associated with SCAD according to current clinical genetics practice for variant reporting were identified in approximately 4 % of patients. In addition, rare potentially relevant variants were detected in almost 60 % of patients in genes associated with vascular integrity and vascular remodelling. Conclusion This study supports SCAD as a genetically complex arteriopathy, driven by rare high?impact variants together with broader polygenic susceptibility. Variants in collagen, vascular extracellular matrix, and oestrogen?responsive pathways provide biologically plausible links to female?predominant disease. Although the diagnostic yield of clearly actionable variants is modest, these findings support broader genomic evaluation beyond overt syndromic presentations and highlight the need for larger integrative genomic and functional studies to refine risk stratification and management.
Mandal, S.; Rade, K.; Singh, A.; Nair, S. A.; Sahu, S.
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Background Tuberculosis (TB) remains a critical public health challenge, with two-thirds of the global TB burden in ten Asian countries. Social vulnerabilities, comorbidities, health inequity, multi-dimensional poverty, malnutrition, and barriers to healthcare access continue to fuel TB epidemic. Inability to detect asymptomatic and sub-clinical TB, combined with passive approach in service delivery and overreliance on smear microscopy, leads to delayed diagnosis, a substantial burden of undetected cases, and continuing TB transmission in the communities. In such a context, the introduction and scale-up of active case-finding approaches - including community-based TB screening using highly sensitive screening tools and novel rapid diagnostics - becomes a strategic priority to interrupt transmission. The growing availability of multiple screening and diagnostic options makes evidence-based decision-making increasingly complex. Methods To estimate the potential epidemiological impact and cost implications of scaling up TB diagnostics and community-based screening in ten high-burden Asian countries, we constructed a mathematical model and evaluated multiple intervention scenarios. We then assessed and compared four service delivery models: 1) digital ultraportable chest x-ray (UPCXR) & Xpert/Truenat in community, 2) digital UPCXR in community and Xpert/Truenat at health facilities, 3) digital UPCXR in community and near point of care (nPOC) at health facilities, 4) nPOC in community & Xpert/Truenat at health facilities - for total investment required and projected health benefits for their cost-effectiveness. Results and conclusions The modelling study indicated that strengthening health facility capacity (with enhanced TB screening, expanded molecular diagnostics, reduced loss to follow-up, private sector standard of care, leading to increased treatment coverage & quality of active disease treatment and reduced post-treatment relapse, scale-up of TB preventive treatment (TPT), and provision of nutritional support to 80% of TB patients and their household contacts) can significantly reduce TB incidence and mortality; however, community-wide mass screening remains essential to achieving TB elimination targets . Targeted screening of vulnerable populations demonstrated greater cost-effectiveness than untargeted screening approaches. Achieving the End TB goals will ultimately require an effective TB vaccine with high population-level coverage. AI-enabled digital UPCXR-based screening combined with Xpert/Truenat testing at the community level demonstrated maximum epidemiological impact potential, while the most cost-efficient model is Digital UPCXR in the community combined with nPOC testing at health facilities. An investment of USD 12.7 billion over the next five years in community-level implementation of digital UPCXR and molecular diagnostics could avert an additional 9.8 million TB cases and 1.9 million deaths across ten Asian countries over a ten-year horizon.
Muneer, A.; Showkatian, E.; Kitsel, Y.; Saad, M. B.; Sujit, S. J.; Soto, F.; Shroff, G. S.; Faiz, S. A.; Ghanbar, M. I.; Ismail, S. M.; Vokes, N. I.; Cascone, T.; Le, X.; Zhang, J.; Byers, L. A.; Jaffray, D.; Chang, J. Y.; Liao, Z.; Naing, A.; Gibbons, D. L.; Vaporciyan, A. A.; Heymach, J. V.; Suresh, K. S.; Altan, M.; Sheshadri, A.; Wu, J.
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Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized cancer therapy but can cause serious immune-related adverse events (irAEs), with pneumonitis (ICI-P) being among the most severe. Early identification of high-risk patients before ICI initiation is critical for closer monitoring, timely intervention, and improved outcomes. Purpose: To develop and validate a deep learning foundation model to predict ICI-P from baseline CT scans in patients with lung cancer. Methods: We designed the Checkpoint-Inhibitor Pneumonitis Hazard EstimatoR (CIPHER), a deep learning foundation model that combines contrastive learning with a transformer-based masked autoencoder to predict ICI-P from baseline CT scans in patients with lung cancer. Using self-supervised learning, CIPHER was pre-trained on 590,284 CT slices from 2,500 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients to capture heterogeneous lung parenchymal patterns. After pre-training, the model was fine-tuned on an internal NSCLC cohort for ICI-P risk prediction, using images from 254 patients for model development and 93 patients for internal validation. We compared CIPHER with classical radiomic models and further evaluated it on an external NSCLC cohort of 116 patients. Results: In the internal immunotherapy cohort, CIPHER consistently distinguished patients at elevated risk of ICI-P from those without the event, with AUCs ranging from 0.77 to 0.85. In head-to-head benchmarking, CIPHER achieved an AUC of 0.83, outperforming the radiomic models. In the external validation cohort, CIPHER maintained strong performance (AUC = 0.83; balanced accuracy = 81.7%), exceeding the radiomic models (DeLong p = 0.0318) and demonstrating higher specificity without sacrificing sensitivity. By contrast, the radiomic model showed high sensitivity (85.0%) but markedly lower specificity (45.8%). Confusion matrix analysis confirmed the robust classification performance of CIPHER, correctly identifying 80 of 96 non-ICI-P cases and 16 of 20 ICI-P cases. Conclusions: We developed and externally validated CIPHER for predicting future risk of ICI-P from pre-treatment CT scans. With prospective validation, CIPHER may be incorporated into routine patient management to improve outcomes.
MacLean, E. L.; Ma, T. T.; Chuong, L. H.; Minh, K. H.; Hoddinott, G.; Pham, Y. N.; Tiep, H. T.; Nguyen, T.-A.; Fox, G.; Nguyen, N. T.
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Introduction Improved diagnostics are needed for people at risk of tuberculosis, especially adolescents. Tongue swab (TS) molecular testing has emerged as a promising strategy for tuberculosis diagnosis. We evaluated diagnostic accuracy and acceptability of Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert) using TS samples for tuberculosis detection among adolescents. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study with consecutive recruitment in Vietnam. Adolescents aged 10-19 who were recommended to undergo investigation for tuberculosis and had not received tuberculosis treatment in the past years were eligible. Participants provided TS and sputum samples and completed a structured survey regarding sampling experiences. TS was tested on Xpert, with sputum tested on Xpert and liquid culture. We utilised a composite reference standard of a positive result on sputum Xpert or sputum culture to define disease status. Sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic yield were calculated for TS Xpert. Results From July to December 2025, we enrolled 225 adolescents from Can Tho and An Giang provinces in southern Vietnam. Fewer than half (96/225, 43%) the participants exhibited a tuberculosis -like symptom, and the majority (157/225, 70%) were close contacts of a person recently diagnosed with tuberculosis. TS were collected from all adolescents, while 116 (52%) could provide mucopurulent sputum. Tuberculosis prevalence was relatively low (12/225, 5.3%). TS Xpert sensitivity (90% CI) and specificity (90% CI) were 58.3% (35.6, 78.0) and 99.5% (97.9, 99.9), respectively. Diagnostic yield among all diagnosed was 58.3% (7/12). TS sampling was highly acceptable to adolescents; the short time and simplicity of collecting TS were considered favourably. Conclusions The sensitivity and diagnostic yield of TS Xpert was relatively low among adolescents recommended for tuberculosis investigation, which includes asymptomatic individuals who may not provide high quality sputum. Specificity was excellent, and everyone could provide a TS. TS high acceptability indicates it remains a promising sample for diagnostic algorithms.
Yang, I. Y.; Patil, A.; Jin, O.; Loud, S.; Buxhoeveden, S.; Zhang, D. Y.
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Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a debilitating disease affecting more than 1 million Americans, and today is assessed primarily through magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and observational clinical symptoms. Given the autoimmune nature of MS, we hypothesized that high-dimensional gene expression data from peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs), when analyzed with the assistance of AI, may collectively serve as valuable biomarkers for the real-time risk and progression of MS. Here, we present PBMC RNA sequencing (RNAseq) results from N=997 samples, including 540 MS, 221 neuromyelitis optica (NMO), and 149 healthy controls. We constructed and optimized ensemble models for three clinical outcomes: (1) discrimination of early MS (EDSS [≤] 2.0) from healthy individuals with 74% AUC at 100% coverage, (2) differential diagnosis of MS from NMO with 91% AUC at 80% coverage, and (3) subtyping RRMS from progressive MS with 79% AUC at 80% coverage. To our knowledge, no prior molecular test has been reported for any of these three MS clinical tasks, and these results may have immediate impact on clinical management of MS patients. Two innovations that improved the stratification accuracy of our models: selection of gene sets based on expression variance in disease states, and use of non-linear rank sort and conviction weighting in the ensemble score calculation.
James-Pemberton, P.; Harper, D.; Wagerfield, P.; Watson, C.; Hervada, L.; Kohli, S.; Alder, S.; Shaw, A.
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A multiplex diagnostic test is evaluated for self-reported long COVID associated persistent symptoms and a poor recovery from a SARS-CoV-2 infection. A mass-standardised concentration of total antibodies (AC), high-quality (HQ) antibodies and percentage of HQ antibodies (HQ%) is assessed against a spectrum of spike proteins to the SARS-CoV-2 variants: Wuhan, , {delta}, and the Omicron variants BA.1, BA.2, BA.2.12.1, BA.2.75, BA.5, CH.1.1, BQ.1.1 and XBB.1.5 in three cohorts. A cohort of control patients (n = 46) recovered (CC) and a cohort of self-declared long COVID patients (n = 113) (LCC). A nested Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, performed for the variant with lowest HQ concentration in the spectrum, produced an area under the curve and AUC = 0.61 (0.53-0.70) for the CC vs LCC cohorts. For the LCC cohort, the cut-off thresholds for AC = 0.8 mg/L, HQ = 1.5 mg/L and HQ% of 34% were determined, leading to a 71% sensitivity and 66% specificity derived by the Youden metric. The cohorts may be fully classified based on ROC and outlier analysis to give an incidence of persistent virus 62% (95% CI 52% - 71%), hyperimmune 12% (95% CI 7% - 20%) and unclassified, 26% (95% CI 18% - 35%). The overall diagnostic accuracy for both the hyper and hypo immune is 69%. All clinical interventions can now be tailored for the heterogenous long COVID patient cohort.